Enugu Rangers take their place at the top of the NPFL to Minna on Sunday, where Niger Tornadoes have yet to lose at home this season, and the leaders know a win would strengthen their grip after Bendel Insurance were beaten on Friday.
Rangers went into Matchday 13 top of the table with 24 points and a game in hand, after a 40th-minute goal beat Kwara United 1-0 in Awka last Sunday.
Bendel Insurance, one of the chasing pack, then lost 2-1 at Shooting Stars in Ibadan on Friday night, so a win at the Bako Kontagora Stadium would let Rangers pull further clear.
Match facts
Form guide: a home record that stands out
Tornadoes have won four, drawn four and lost four of their 12 league games, with a goal difference of zero. The detail that matters for Sunday is where those points came from: three wins and three draws at home, and no defeats.
They come into the game off a 2-1 defeat at Bendel Insurance in Benin City, where John Taiwo scored the winner in the fifth minute of stoppage time.
Rangers have won seven, drawn three and lost only one of their 11 games, with a goal difference of plus seven. Away from home they have two wins, two draws and one defeat, a solid return but not the record of a side that rolls over hosts.
Analysis: Why a draw would not hurt Rangers
The table shapes this game. Rangers have a game in hand on everyone around them, so even a point in Minna keeps them in control, with that extra match still to play.
That gives the leaders a reason to be patient, and their away numbers suggest they already play that way: four of their five away games have ended in a win or a draw.
Tornadoes need the points more. Sixteen from 12 leaves them in mid-table, eight behind the leaders, and their six home games without defeat are the reason they are not lower. Beating the leaders in Minna would be the best evidence yet that the ground is a genuine fortress.
If Rangers score first, the game could suit them perfectly. If Tornadoes do, the leaders will have to show more ambition than their away record usually needs.
For more on how the title race stands, see Soccernet’s look at what Rangers’ game in hand is worth and the Shooting Stars win over Bendel that opened the round.
Verdict
Tornadoes’ home record is too good to back against, and Rangers have little reason to take risks with a game in hand. A draw would suit the leaders more than the hosts.
